The ‘Final Four’ Nobody Saw Coming

The NCAA competition this year has proven to be one of the most unpredictable tournaments in history, with the Final Four being guessed by only 0.00003 percent of ESPN’s bracket Challenge, says Sports Reference. In 10,000 simulations, Kentucky’s probability of making it was 11.9 percent, Connecticut 16.3 percent, Butler 1.7 percent and the most unlikely team, VCU only had a 0.2 percent probability of making the cut.

Virginia Commonwealth team was seen as the underdog of the competition and 33-year-old coach Shaka Smart used that status to thrust his team to the final four in a quasi-Cinderella story, says the Houston Chronicle. As for their upcoming winning strategy, Smart says, “We’ll use a variety of things…But the bottom line is if you’re not motivated going into a Final Four game, there’s something wrong with you. We’ll use some different things that will stay within our team. But our guys have been pretty good so far in terms of being ready to go.”

Butler was also seen as an improbable choice with its 8th-seed. This will be the first time that a Division I Indiana school will make it into the coveted four. Even Purdue, five-time champion Indiana, and Notre Dame haven’t been able to do it, reports ABC News.

On the East Coast, UConn had a tough year, with a four out of five game loss at the end of February, and Coach Jim Calhoun facing the death of his sister-in-law from cancer, but things turned around in March, and the team that was seen as too young made it to the finals. Star guard, Kemba Williams told the New York Daily News, “for us to be in the Final Four, especially being a team that was picked to be 10th in the Big East…it’s special after all this program has been through.”

Calhoun will be facing off with long time rival, Kentucky’s John Calipari, who along with Rick Pitino, is the only coach in history to have led three different teams to the Final Four, says ABC. Although his recruiting practices have come under fire and his career is marred with controversy, he is still well respected, and UK fans have high hopes that any banners raised this time around will stay up and that Kentucky won’t face the same fate as Memphis and Massachusetts in previous tournaments, says New Jersey Online.

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